Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.208374 0.242250 0.279962 0.325075 0.377604 0.436874 0.508883
2025-02-16 0.154824 0.199720 0.255166 0.328765 0.424066 0.543536 0.705078
2025-02-23 0.124694 0.172626 0.236149 0.326678 0.452739 0.622611 0.869879
2025-03-02 0.102080 0.149644 0.216395 0.317182 0.466095 0.678956 1.008091
2025-03-09 0.090542 0.139499 0.211711 0.326377 0.504789 0.773321 1.211113
2025-03-16 0.079598 0.128179 0.203079 0.327475 0.530169 0.849644 1.395785
2025-03-23 0.071850 0.120465 0.198506 0.333551 0.563101 0.940530 1.614486
2025-03-30 0.063121 0.109809 0.187584 0.327335 0.574294 0.996450 1.781163
2025-04-06 0.056371 0.101509 0.179349 0.324240 0.589778 1.060568 1.969360
2025-04-13 0.051255 0.095352 0.173921 0.325131 0.611968 1.138416 2.191733
2025-04-20 0.048748 0.093568 0.175970 0.339734 0.660870 1.270254 2.532441
2025-04-27 0.046163 0.091277 0.176732 0.351832 0.706235 1.400470 2.886729
2025-05-04 0.043278 0.088145 0.175696 0.360646 0.747008 1.528304 3.257253
2025-05-11 0.040055 0.083950 0.172106 0.363923 0.777102 1.638831 3.608155
2025-05-18 0.036655 0.078946 0.166246 0.361633 0.795010 1.725933 3.919961
2025-05-25 0.032903 0.072728 0.157108 0.351103 0.793566 1.771146 4.143950
2025-06-01 0.031318 0.071031 0.157385 0.361299 0.839496 1.926103 4.642184
2025-06-08 0.029168 0.067802 0.153913 0.362516 0.864889 2.037506 5.052271
2025-06-15 0.027627 0.065776 0.152890 0.369254 0.904040 2.185565 5.572485
2025-06-22 0.025303 0.061629 0.146502 0.362362 0.909244 2.252937 5.898693
2025-06-29 0.023427 0.058343 0.141769 0.358929 0.922581 2.341831 6.293140
2025-07-06 0.021985 0.055958 0.138938 0.359917 0.947294 2.462384 6.789013
2025-07-13 0.021493 0.055917 0.141879 0.376111 1.013810 2.699151 7.636827